Monday, 16 October 2017

Eva Bartlett on Syria (interview with Syriana Analysis)


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Raising Iran to America’s First Enemy … ترفيع إيران إلى مرتبة عدو أميركا الأول


أكتوبر 16, 2017

د. عصام نعمان

أطلق ترامب أخيراً عاصفته المجنونة الموعودة: إيران وحرسها الثوري هي الخطر الداهم.

إيران كانت دائماً، في رأيه، خصماً مؤذياً. ترامب قرّر ترفيعها الى مرتبة العدو الأول والأفعل. خطرها ليس نابعاً من كونها قوة نووية بل من كونها ذات قدرات متنوّعة ومتعاظمة وأنها مقتدرة وقادرة على تحجيم نفوذ أميركا وإجلائه عن البرزخ الممتدّ من شواطئ البحر الأبيض المتوسط الى شواطئ الخليج.

الاتفاق النووي ليس سبباً للعداوة بل ذريعة لتعظيمها. ثمة تحريض «إسرائيلي» متوقّد، وكذلك خليجي، لكنهما ليسا الدافع الأول لترفيع إيران إلى مرتبة العدو الأول. الدافع الأول اقتناعُ ترامب والمنظومة السياسية والعسكرية الحاكمة establishment بأنّ الإدارات الأميركية المتعاقبة، منذ جورج بوش الأب الى باراك أوباما، أخفقت في حربها الناعمة soft power على إيران وقوى المقاومة المتحالفة معها. لعلّ المظهر الأخير للإخفاق اندحار الإرهاب المتمثل بـ «الدولة الإسلامية في العراق والشام – داعش».

سواء كان تنظيم «داعش» صناعة أميركية، كما يعتقد كثيرون، أم مجرد ردّة فعلٍ على تغوّل الولايات المتحدة وبعض دول الغرب الأطلسي و«إسرائيل» في استباحة بلاد العرب والمسلمين، فإنّ ثمة حقيقة ساطعة لا سبيل الى إنكارها هي أنّ أميركا وبعضاً من حلفائها الإقليميين استعملوا «داعش» وأخواته من أجل ترسيم خريطة جيوسياسية جديدة لبلدان غرب آسيا ولمواجهة قوى المقاومة البازغة فيها.

انهزام الإرهاب ومن هم وراءه هو الدافع الرئيس للولايات المتحدة، في ظلّ ترامب، إلى تأكيد وتعزيز وتظهير قرار مواجهة إيران وقوى المقاومة المتحالفة معها.

لا بدَّ من التوضيح أنّ قوى المقاومة العربية عموماً متحالفة مع إيران وليست أداةً لها. صحيح أنّ إيران تموّل وتسلّح وتدرّب العديد من فصائلها، وأنّ لها في صفوفها تأييداً ونفوذاً، لكن قياداتها ليست بالتأكيد أداةً لإيران.

إدارة ترامب والمنظومة السياسية والعسكرية والاستخبارية الأميركية حريصة على إضفاء صفة التبعية على قوى المقاومة العربية المتحالفة مع إيران. التبعية تهمة ملفّقة. قيادات حزب الله اللبناني، والجهاد إلاسلامي و«حماس» الفلسطينيتين وغيرها من التنظيمات والفصائل ليست بالتأكيد أدوات لإيران ولا وكيلة لها. العلاقة بين تلك القوى المجاهدة وإيران ليست علاقة تبعية أو ارتزاق بل علاقة تعاهد وتحالف وتعاون في مواجهة أعداء مشتركين. هذا ما يبدو سائداً حتى الآن.

هل من متغيّرات لافتة في الوسائل والغايات بعد إعلان ترامب استراتيجيته تستوجب انتباهاً وتركيزاً خاصاً من طرف قوى المقاومة؟

من الواضح أنّ إدارة ترامب تعتمد مقاربة مغايرة لسابقاتها في العراق وسورية من جهة، وفي فلسطين من جهة أخرى. في العراق، تدعم واشنطن مداورةً مسعود البرزاني على تثبيت وضع انفصالي عن حكومة بغداد المركزية يرمي إلى تمكين الكرد من إقامة دولة مستقلة في كردستان العراق. في السياق، تحبّذ واشنطن نشوء حالة اشتباك بين قوات «البيشمركة» وقوات الجيش العراقي لتوليد حاجة لدى حكومة بغداد لاستبقاء القوات الأميركية المتواجدة حالياً في الشمال، كما من أجل إطالة أمد عدم الاستقرار في البلاد.

في سورية، تدعم واشنطن قوات سورية الديمقراطية «قسد» لإقامة سلطة منفصلة عن حكومة دمشق يُراد لها، في المدى الطويل، ان تشكّل الجناح السوري لدولة الكرد المستقلة في شمال العراق وشمال سورية، وهو مخطط يحتمل واحداً من تفسيرين: إما إقامة دولة كردية بالتفاهم مع تركيا تقتصر على أجزاء من العراق وسورية وتعويض أنقرة بدعم جهودها للسيطرة على الكرد الأتراك في شمال شرق البلاد، وإما غضّ واشنطن النظر عن قيام تركيا بالسيطرة على أجزاء واسعة من شمال سورية بغية تحقيق غرضين: حصر دولة الكرد المستقلة في شمال العراق، وإبقاء شمال سورية رهينة في أيدي الأتراك لحمل حكومة دمشق وفصائل المعارضة السورية على التسليم بإقامة نظام فدرالي ضعيف يراعي أميركا وتركيا ولا يشكّل خطراً على «إسرائيل».

في فلسطين المحتلة، ثمّة مؤشرات إلى أنّ ترامب يحلم بتحقيق ما يسمّيه «صفقة القرن» بين «إسرائيل» والفلسطينيين. مضمون «الصفقة» لم يتّضح بعد، إلاّ انّ القليل مما تيسّرت معرفته يشير إلى تسويق تسويةٍ بين الطرفين تعطي الفلسطينيين كياناً سياسياً يقتصر على أمكنة كثافتهم السكانية في الضفة الغربية، على أن يُصار إلى ربطه بالأردن من خلال نظام كونفدرالي يرعى شؤون القدس الشرقية والحرم الشريف.

الى ذلك، تأمل إدارة ترامب بأن تساعد التسوية المرتجاة على تسهيل وتسريع عملية التطبيع بين «إسرائيل» والدول العربية «المعتدلة»، وفي مقدّمها السعودية ودول الخليج، على أن ترافق هذه العملية مبادرات اعتراف متبادل إذا كانت أوضاعها الداخلية تحتمل «خطوة جريئة» في هذا المجال.

كلّ هذه السيناريوات والتطلعات يُراد لها أن تصبّ تدريجاً في هدف استراتيجي رئيس هو بناء جدار سياسي وعسكري فاصل بين عالم العرب وعالم الفرس. لذلك تحرص إدارة ترامب على إبقاء قواتها، ومن ثم تعزيزها، في العراق وسورية لمنع تواصلهما جغرافياً وسياسياً وعسكرياً والحؤول دون إقامة جسر بري استراتيجي يمتدّ من طهران وبيروت عبر بلاد الرافدين وبلاد الشام.

باختصار، ممنوع على إيران أن تصل البحر المتوسط أو أن تكون لها قواعد ومرتكزات في سورية ولبنان. هذا الأمر هو مطمع ومطلب أميركيان و«إسرائيليان». من هنا يمكن تفسير تبرّم ترامب ونتنياهو بالإتفاق النووي. ذلك أنّ إقراره في مجلس الأمن أعطاه بُعداً دولياً وأدّى إلى رفع العقوبات عن إيران ومكّنها من توظيف المزيد من الموارد والطاقات في صناعتها الصاروخية، وبالتالي في إنتاج صواريخ متقدمة يتجاوز مداها «إسرائيل» ويطاول جميع القواعد الأميركية في منطقة غرب آسيا.

أميركا، كما «إسرائيل»، تعرفان أن ليس لدى إيران قنابل ذرية وأنها ليست جادة في امتلاكها، وان لا سبيل اصلاً الى استعمال السلاح النووي نظراً لخطره الكارثي المدمّر على الاطراف التي تستعمله برغم التفاوت الكمّي لصالح بعضها في هذا المجال. لكن أميركا و«إسرائيل» تعرفان ايضاً انّ إيران قادرة على تعويض نقصها في الأسلحة النووية بكمية الصواريخ الضخمة التي تمتلكها، للمدى المتوسط وللمدى البعيد، وبالقوة النارية الهائلة التي يمكن أن تتولد عن استعمالها، ولا سيما اذا ما تمكّنت طهران، بالتفاهم مع دمشق، من إقامة قواعد معدَّة لإطلاقها غير بعيدة من «إسرائيل».

هكذا تتضح أسباب نزوع ترامب والمنظومة السياسية والعسكرية الأميركية إلى ترفيع إيران وقوى المقاومة الى مرتبة العدو الأول والأفعل لأميركا و«إسرائيل»…

وزير سابق

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EU Offers Support to Reunite Gaza Strip and West Bank

Federica Mogherini, High Representative of the EU for Foreign Affairs and PA’s Mahmoud Abbas. (Photo: WAFA, file)
EU Foreign Policy Chief Federica Mogherini said on Friday that the EU is ready to help the Gaza Strip and the West Bank to reunite under “one single and legitimate Palestinian Authority.” Mogherini made her comment after the main Palestinian factions – Fatah and Hamas – announced an agreement ending the 11-year-old political division.
“The agreement signed by Fatah and Hamas in Cairo on 12 October can become an important step towards a full return of the Palestinian Authority to Gaza, and for making genuine progress on intra-Palestinian reconciliation,” explained the EU official, noting that the union “will closely study” details of the agreement.
“We welcome the continuing engagement of Egypt, and we expect all Palestinian factions to move forward in good faith in further process, in order to enable the legitimate Palestinian Authority to resume full control in Gaza,” she added.
Meanwhile, Mogherini stressed that it “is essential that the agreement delivers on the ground and that the situation of the people of Gaza is improved as a matter of urgency.”
She reiterated that having Gaza and the West Bank under the Palestinian Authority is critical for reaching a negotiated two-state solution to end the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
“We will continue to liaise with Egypt, our interlocutors on the ground and our international partners, including in the Quartet, in order to help this process to succeed,” Mogherini concluded.
On Thursday, UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres emphasized the continuing need to address the humanitarian crisis in Gaza urgently, particularly with regard to the electricity crisis, and improved access to and from the territory.
He reiterated that the UN “stands ready to continue working with the Palestinian authorities and the region in support of the Government in assuming its responsibilities in Gaza.”

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Netanyahu positively salivating over the thought of the USA attacking Iran


“Israel embraces this opportunity,” Netanyahu says. And so should every leader responsible for “the security of the world.”
So it is clear as ever who is against the deal. Israel and its lobby. That’s all, folks. The other night on NBC, Andrea Mitchell said that Trump would gladden “his base” by decertifying the deal, but this is simply a lie. Trump’s base of disaffected white voters in red states don’t care about Iran. The pro-Israel wing does. Trump’s “billionaire donors”– three rightwing Israel supporters– care. The media’s evasion of this central question is more transparent than ever.
The leading Israel lobby group AIPAC was quick to adore the president on his speech. “POTUS policy objectives: Confront Iran’s regional aggression and fix dangerous flaws in the nuclear deal.”
Too bad that Susan Rice didn’t openly confront AIPAC when she had power, as national security adviser to Obama, and ambassador to the U.N. Though Obama tried to call out Israel, in his great, I’d be abrogating my constitutional duties speech, when he said he couldn’t defer to Netanyahu.
Israel runs through all arguments on the deal. Mark Dubowitz of the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies, which is funded by Paul Singer, Sheldon Adelson and Bernard Marcus and is all about Israel, stole Netanyahu’s line on PBS last night–“Fix it or nix it”– without crediting the Israeli p.m. The Republican Jewish Coalition promptly declared that Trump has bolstered Israel’s security. The Israel Project at least tells us what the real problem with Iran is: It helps Hamas and Hezbollah, Israel’s pesky enemies. That’s an existential threat to the west?
While supporters of the deal also have to salute Israel in order to seem plausible. Rob Malley cited “Prime Minister Netanyahu” approvingly last night on the News Hour– Netanyahu described Iran’s “existential threat” back in 2014 and we have addressed it. Fred Kaplan invokes “the vast majority of Israeli military and intelligence officers.”  Trudy Rubin cites Ami Ayalon and other Israeli “security experts.” So does J Street: “Killing the JCPOA would also increase the threat to Israel – which is why the majority of the Israeli security establishment believes the agreement should be maintained.”
So Israel’s security interest is what matters– the establishment agrees. South Korea and Japan should have it so good when it comes to North Korea. But they don’t.
The lobby’s friends in the Senate are very happy. Tom Cotton wants regime change.  While Marco Rubio says the deal is “Munich” for the 21st century. Iran is going to take over Europe, cracks Ben Rhodes. We really are going nuts.
Thanks to Max Blumenthal and James North

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Come and get it, Russia Ready to Give Crushing Response to illegal israeli Air Attacks on Syria

Russia Ready to Give Crushing Response to Israeli Air Attacks on Syria
Russia has deployed more S300 and S400 anti-aircraft systems in Syria to defend the country’s airspace against any aggressions, including Israeli air raids on the war-hit country, Russian media outlet reported Saturday.
The Arabic-language website of Russia’s state news agency, Sputnik, reported that the modern Russia-made S300 and S400 anti-aircraft systems with a tracking range of 300 km and 400 km respectively have been deployed in the town of Masyaf Southwest of Hama.
The Arabic Sputnik quoted some experts as saying that Russia’s move to deploy the modern anti-aircraft systems is aimed at giving a crushing response to repeated air raids on Syria’s Masyaf by Tel Aviv, including the one in September 7, 2017. 
The General Command of the Syrian Army announced in a statement in easrly September that the Israeli warplane’s airstrikes on army positions in the Western parts of Hama city killed 2 Syrian soldiers.
The statement said that the Israeli fighter jet launched missile attacks on one of the Syrian army bases near Masyaf region in Southwestern Hama through the Lebanese airspace, killing two Syrian soldiers.
It added that the attack was a desperate attempt to heighten the lost morale of the ISIL terrorists after the Syrian army’s major victories against the terrorism in several regions.

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“israel’s war on Palestine’s food supplies: israeli Navy Abducts Four Fishermen In Gaza” is locked israel’s war on Palestine’s food supplies: israeli Navy Abducts Four Fishermen In Gaza

15 Oct  8:55 AM
Israeli navy ships attacked, on Sunday morning, several Palestinian fishing boats, in the Sudaniyya Sea area, northwest of Gaza City, fired many live rounds at them, and abducted four fishermen.
The WAFA Palestinian News Agency has reported that the navy fired dozens of live rounds at the boats, while were fishing less than four nautical miles from the shore, and boarded two.
It added that the navy abducted four fishermen, who were on the boarded boats, and took them to Ashdod port.
The attack is part of frequent Israeli violations against the Palestinians in the impoverished and besieged Gaza Strip.
Such attacks have led to dozens of casualties, including many fatalities, in addition to resulting in scores of injuries, the destruction of boats and property, and the illegal confiscation on fishing boats.
In May of this year, a fisherman, identified as Mohammad Majed Bakr, 25, was killed by live Israeli navy fire, after  the navy ships fired dozens of rounds at fishing boats less than four nautical miles from the Gaza shore.


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When it comes to gulags, the USA has taken over from Bolshevik Russia

Portrait of a young man in jail
Photo Credit: CURAphotography / Shutterstock
A travesty of our criminal justice system.
There are nearly 100,000 people being held in solitary confinement today in America’s prisons. They are locked up in cramped, often windowless cells for nearly 24 hours a day. They eat alone. They exercise alone in small fenced-in areas known as cages or dog runs. They are almost completely segregated from the mainstream population and there are no programs available to them. Most aren’t allowed to make phone calls to loved ones. And they are often subject to extreme and excessive punishment, euphemistically called “cell extractions.” Robert Hillary King, an Angola 3 member who spent 29 years in solitary confinement, has called this isolation a matter of “moral depravity.”  
Forensic psychiatrist Terry Allen Kupers knows this moral depravity all too well. He has spent 40 years evaluating prisons and jails and testifying in class action suits revolving around prisoners’ rights issues such as overcrowding, sexual abuse and the lack of decent mental health treatment.
In his new book, “Solitary: The Inside Story of Supermax Isolation and How We Can Abolish It,” Kupers describes how long-term solitary confinement destroys the minds of those imprisoned. He also explains how prisons became warehouses for the mentally ill, which set the stage for a 30-year boom in supermax prison construction and the placement of a large number of prisoners in solitary confinement.
Here, in his first extensive interview since the September release of “Solitary,” Kupers discusses private prison practices, the role of race in solitary confinement and why he does this painful work.
Describe what you look for when you investigate a prison.
I tour the facilities, noting things like crowding, gymnasiums converted into impromptu dorms, prisoners lying in their bunks in the middle of the day because there is nothing productive to do, excessive use of force [by guards] and filthy isolation cells. I talk to prisoners about the conditions and their medical and psychiatric treatment. I review cartons of documents, including prison policies, medical charts and reports of audits and accreditation inspections. I would like to talk to staff in depth about what they do, but usually the attorney general will not permit that. I have to learn the staff’s perspective by reading depositions they give in the case.
What role do you play in court cases?
I am a psychiatric expert witness, or sometimes I serve as monitor after the case is settled and I assess the state’s performance in carrying out the court’s orders. I testify about inhumane and unconstitutional conditions of confinement, including solitary confinement, inadequate or harmful mental health services and sexual abuse. After I have done my investigation, the county or state’s attorneys depose me under oath. Some large class actions are settled at that point. Some go to trial, and then I testify in court as a psychiatric expert. After I describe unconstitutional and abusive conditions and practices, I am asked what remedies I would recommend, and that’s when I have an opportunity to share with the judge or jury the proven effective alternatives to prison crowding and solitary confinement.
How do private prisons play into all this?
Private prisons are the sites of some of the worst human rights abuses. After all, the way corporations make a profit is to cut corners on staffing costs and drastically cut down on rehabilitative programs. Private prisons, which tend to be more crowded than those run by the government, rely a lot on solitary confinement to manage prisoners. They pay staff lower wages and provide them less training than in government facilities. President Obama favored moving away from private prisons and solitary confinement in the federal system, but the Trump administration favors the private prison corporations, especially in the realm of immigration detention. The stock of the private prison corporations rose precipitously in value immediately after Trump won the election.
What motivated you to get involved in prison work?
Back in the day, I was the physician for the Black Panther Party’s Bunchy Carter Free Clinic in South Central L.A. In 1971, COINTELPRO and the LAPD Red Squad attacked the Panther office—the building where the clinic was located—and shot the 13 Panthers sleeping there. I went to the L.A. County Jail Hospital Ward and demanded to see my patients. The conditions and treatment in the jail were horrid, and I reported that to the press.
How did you end up testifying in class action cases?
A couple of years later, the ACLU sued the L.A. County sheriff over unconstitutional conditions and inadequate treatment at Men’s Central Jail and asked me to be their expert witness. I went back in and this time reported the appalling conditions to the federal judge. The psychiatric community was just beginning to discover that a large number of individuals suffering from serious mental illness were behind bars. Once I learned of the horrors that regularly occur [in jails and prisons] I felt compelled to investigate, testify and generally holler about the massive abuses.
I understand there are 100,000 prisoners in solitary confinement today. How did that happen?
In the 1980s, prisons were overcrowded [due to] longer sentences and the War on Drugs, and they were out of control with a lot of violence. The choice was to either downsize the prison population through sentencing reform while upgrading rehabilitation for prisoners, or to lock up “the worst of the worst” in solitary. The powers that be decided on [the isolation option]. This was a historic wrong turn, and we entered the age of supermax. There was no improvement in the violence or gang problems, but there was massive human damage.
What role does race play in solitary confinement?
It’s all about race, of course. It starts with who goes to prison: While approximately 13 percent of the U.S. population is African American, over 40 percent of prisoners are Black. Latinos are equivalently overrepresented in prison. In terms of consignment to SHU (Security Housing Units), there is an unfortunate national trend to send White prisoners to mental-health treatment for the same rule-breaking behaviors that get Blacks placed in SHU.
Can you given me an example?
In New York, according to a 2014 study by the New York Advisory Committee to The U.S. Commission on Civil Rights, African Americans make up almost 18 percent of the state population but nearly 50 percent of the state’s prisoners and 59 percent of those kept in extreme isolation. For prisoners under age 21, Black youths constitute 66 percent of those in solitary confinement.
In other words, the racial disparities and discrimination that permeate our society are multiplied and exaggerated behind bars. The racial discrimination of officers is well known, and that includes corrections officers.
Why are there so many people with serious mental illness in our jails and prisons, and why do so many of them wind up in solitary confinement?
With deinstitutionalization, the War on Drugs and the de-funding of social welfare safety net programs, a lot of people with mental illness ran afoul of the law. In prison, they are victimized or they find it difficult to follow all the rules and they get singled out for punishment with solitary confinement. Just about everyone in solitary develops dreadful symptoms, including massive anxiety, mounting anger, despair, paranoia, repetitive behaviors such as pacing, and, too often, suicide. When individuals suffering from mental illness are consigned to SHU, it exacerbates their mental health problems. They develop worse disabilities and prognoses.
What effect is the Trump/Sessions regime having on prison reform, and, by extension, solitary confinement?
Before Trump, there was a bipartisan effort to put radical sentence reform on the legislative agenda. Obama, [Supreme Court Justice Anthony Kennedy] and many influential people were calling for a move away from solitary confinement, and we were on a path to reform. But Attorney General Jeff Sessions insists on the harshest sentences and Trump likes waterboarding. I worry that the progress of recent years will be reversed. The scenario that scares me the most is the detention of millions of immigrants in [Immigration and Customs Enforcement] detention centers, where the feds ask the states and counties to incarcerate the overflow and prison crowding returns with a vengeance. Correctional authorities [will] once again make the wrong decision and put a lot of prisoners in solitary.
I imagine that the correctional authorities insist they need solitary confinement to keep prisons safe. How do you respond to that?
Research shows no improvement in the violence rate in prisons, the gang problem continues unabated, and a huge number of prisoners are very damaged from their stints in solitary. Actually, prisoners who spend time in solitary are more difficult to manage after they are returned to general population, and that’s why the violence rate is not improved.
Tell me about some of the court cases you’ve been involved with.
I have testified in dozens of court cases. Among the most significant is Coleman v. Wilson, which was about mental healthcare throughout the California Department of Corrections and Rehabilitation. This case resulted in an order from the Supreme Court to downsize the state’s prisons. Then there was Presley v. Epps, which was about conditions and inadequate treatment for prisoners with serious mental illness at the supermax unit within the Mississippi State Penitentiary at Parchman. And Ashker v. Brown was a case that came out of hunger strikes at Pelican Bay State Prison in California. It addressed conditions and due process in the SHU.
Do you think class action lawsuits an effective way to reform the criminal justice system? What about legislation and social activism? What is needed at this point?
Lawsuits alone will not change things, but they permit us to enter the prisons and assess the damage. Only with social activism, starting with calls for radical sentence reform and massive downsizing of the prisons, will we see progress. Some legislatures are responding to advocates, including prisoners’ families, and they’re passing sentencing- and prison-reform legislation.
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المأزق الأميركي في الملف النووي الإيراني

المأزق الأميركي في الملف النووي الإيراني

أكتوبر 16, 2017
ناصر قنديل

-اختار الرئيس الأميركي دونالد ترامب أضعف حلقات قوته وأقوى حلقات القوة الإيرانية ساحة للنزال بينه وبين إيران، فجعل الملف النووي الإيراني وعاء يتسع لملفات الخلاف مع إيران حول برنامجها الصاروخي وأمن «إسرائيل» ودور إيران الإقليمي، وصولاً لمستقبل حزب الله ومقاومته. كان الدعسة الناقصة التي ستتكفّل بتظهير الضعف الأميركي على الساحة الدولية. فالاتفاق على الملف النووي الإيراني معاهدة دولية لا تتسع لاستيعاب المقاربة الأميركية للملفات الخلافية الثنائية مع إيران، وبعدما صرّح مسؤولو إدارة ترامب بالتمسك بالاتفاق والسعي لتعديله كما قالوا، يدركون أن التعديل بشروطهم مستحيل، لأن مطالبهم تصطدم بخلاف على التوصيف مع شريكين أساسيين على الأقل، هما روسيا والصين وإيران حكماً، سواء حول البرنامج الصاروخي لإيران أو حول دور إيران الإقليمي أو حول دور حزب الله، وإذا كان هذا التعديل مستحيلاً، ولا تعديل سواه، فيصير مصير الحركة الأميركية هو الفشل.

مشكلة أميركا الثانية في الاختيار السيئ، أوروبية. فأوروبا التي قد تشارك واشنطن بتحفظاتها على البرنامج الصاروخي لإيران وقلقها على أمن «إسرائيل»، وتطلعها لتقليم أظافر حزب الله، لا تريد المساس بالاتفاق النووي ولا تعريضه للاهتزاز، لأنه طريقها للتشارك الإيجابي مع إيران اقتصادياً وسياسياً في تحقيق الاستقرار في سورية والعراق خصوصاً، منعاً لنمو الإرهاب وتجذره من جهة. وقد صار ثابتاً أنه لا أمن لأوروبا من دون إطفاء الحروب في سورية والعراق، ولا إطفاء لهذه الحروب من دون إيران، بل ومن دون حزب الله. ومن جهة ثانية الاستعانة بإيران لحفظ الاستقرار وإعادة دورة الحياة كطريق لمنع تدفق المهاجرين والنازحين نحو أوروبا. وقد صار استقرار أوروبا الديمغرافي طريق الحفاظ على وحدة كياناتها، بعدما تكفل الاهتزاز الناجم عن النزوح بخروج بريطانيا من الاتحاد الأوروبي، ويتكفّل مسلسل النزوح بنمو متقابل مزدوج، لعنصرية اليمين النازي، والبيئة الحاضنة للتطرف بين النازحين والمهاجرين، ومن دون وقف النزوح تجد أوروبا التهديد لتفتت مجتمعاتها، وتهديد وحدة كياناتها. ولهذا تضع جانباً تحفظاتها، وتتجه لحماية الاتفاق مع إيران، لا بل تراه طريقاً للخروج من الكساد، وقد احتكرت واشنطن مال الخليج لحل أزماتها، وما بقي لأوروبا إلا إيران وسورية والعراق.

-مشكلة أميركا الثالثة في فتح ملف الاتفاق النووي مع إيران، آسيوية، لجهة مستقبل التجاذب مع كوريا الشمالية، من زاويتين متقابلتين. فإذا كانت الرسالة الموجهة لإيران مضمونها أن لا جدوى من التموضع تحت سقف القانون الدولي، الذي لا تلتزمه الدول العظمى أصلاً التي تدّعي حراسته وترفض تطبيقه على أنفسها. والرسالة لإيران هنا هي أن طريق كوريا الشمالية هو المجدي بالتمرّد والتهديد، وإيران إن تمردت وهددت تملك في الجغرافيا والمقدرات والسكان ما لا تملكه كوريا الشمالية، ورغم ذلك ارتضت طريق التمسك بملف نووي سلمي وقدّم ما يلزم من ضمانات لذلك، وتأتي الدولة العظمى الأولى في العالم وتقول لها المعاهدات لا قيمة لها، والالتزام بالقانون لا يقدّم ولا يؤخّر، بينما الردع النووي العسكري لكوريا الشمالية يحميها، وبالمقابل تقول اللغة الأميركية لكوريا الشمالية أن مثال الالتزام الإيراني يدعو لتجنب الوقوع في فخ القبول بالتفاهمات المؤدية لعدم امتلاك السلاح النووي، لأن الالتزام لا يضمن تعاملاً بمقاييس القانون، والمعاهدات. فالقوة وحدها هي التي تفهمها واشنطن، وبالتالي، نتيجة الحركة الأميركية تشجيع دعاة امتلاك السلاح النووي بين الإيرانيين، وإضعاف دعاة الذهاب للتفاهمات، وكذلك تعقيد الحوار والتفاوض مع كوريا الشمالية. وهذا ما جعل اليابان وكوريا الجنوبية تتجنّبان ضم صوتيهما لمؤيدي الموقف الأميركي، وسيول وطوكيو تدركان أن الاتفاق النووي مع إيران هو النموذج الوحيد الذي يمكن عبره إقناع بيونغ يانغ بالتخلّي عن السلاح النووي، شرط أن يكون مثالاً مغرياً ومشجّعاً.

-لم ينجح ترامب بجذب مؤيدين إلا «إسرائيل» والسعودية. ولو كان التحالف الأميركي السعودي «الإسرائيلي» كافياً لتشكيل ميزان قوة بوجه إيران، لكان، رغم الفوارق الكبيرة بين حال الاتفاق النووي وسواه، كافياً لحسم سورية، وعندها لكان اتفاق غير الاتفاق الذي نعرفه.

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Sunday, 15 October 2017

It’s Unanimous. Russia, Iran, and Hezbollah all Agree: US is Helping ISIS


Three days ago, I put up a post concerning comments by Hezbollah Secretary General Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah alleging US support for ISIS.
“It is only the United States, which does not let Daesh be totally annihilated,” Nasrallah said.
“US Air Force does not allow the Syrian army and resistance groups to advance toward positions occupied by Daesh,” he added.
Now high-ranking Russian and Iranian officials are saying more or less the same thing.
“The Americans have been in Syria and Iraq under the pretext of opposing and fighting Daesh, but the reality contravenes the US claim,” said Brigadier General Abdullah Araqi, commander of the Iranian IRGC.
Russian Major-General Igor Konashenkov has accused the US of allowing ISIS to operate “under its nose” in Syria, this in an area specifically abutting the US military base at Al-Tanf, near the Syria-Iraq border.
“We suggest the American side also explain about another incidence of their ‘selective blindness’ towards terrorists operating under their nose,” Konashenkov said.
Konashenkov’s and Araqi’s remarks both came out today–three days after Nasrallah’s. The Russian official additionally spoke of some 300 ISIS fighters in pick up trucks passing unmolested through a US-controlled area as they sought to block the main highway between Damascus and Deir Ez-Zor used to supply Syrian troops.
There are only two possible explanations for this: either all three military commands–Russia’s, Iran’s and Hezbollah’s–are getting faulty intelligence…or else the US is lying about its alleged efforts to defeat ISIS. Take your pick.

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The Emerging Multipolar World with The Saker: Cold Wars, Hot Wars

CatherineThe Solari Report on September 7, 2017 at 9:09 am · 

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When you get billions in aid and your weapons resupplied and your ammunition stock resupplied, you don’t learn the lesson that war is bad and nobody wins.”  ~King Abdullah II 
By Catherine Austin Fitts
This week on the Solari Report, Saker joins me for our quarterly review of the geopolitical landscape.  Items on our list to cover:

In Let’s Go to the Movies, I will review Oliver Stone’s Putin Interviews – four hours of interviews with Vladimir Putin conducted by Stone between 2015 and 2017.
In Money & Markets this week I will discuss the latest in financial and geopolitical news. Please make sure to e-mail or post your questions for Ask Catherine.
Talk to you Thursday!
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Palestinian children beaten, tortured under israeli interrogation

Samidoun Palestinian Prisoner Solidarity Network – October 13, 2017
Several Palestinian child prisoners in Ofer prison revealed their experiences with torture and mistreatment to Palestinian lawyer Wael Awakah, including beatings and threats by Israeli occupation soldiers and interrogators from the moment of their arrest.
Awakah reported that Waleed Riyad al-Dali, 14 years old, a tenth-grade student and a resident of the village of Biddu in the Ramallah district, was seized on 28 September 2017 at 5:00 pm from the center of his village by undercover Israeli occupation soldiers disguised as Palestinians. He was assaulted and beaten by the soldiers, punched in the head and left bloody by their attack.
Waleed was then taken to a settlement while shackled and blindfolded in a military jeep. He reported being beaten by the soldiers rifle butts and kicked by them during the travel to the settlement. At the settlement military base, Waleed was interrogated; the interrogator threatened to break his hands, refused him food and directed curses and obscene insults at him.
Yazid Akram Humaidan, 15, also a resident of Biddu, was also seized on 28 September from the center of town by undercover Israeli occupation soldiers, who threw him to the ground, punched and slapped him. Yazid said that one of the undercover occupation soldiers stomped on his neck so hard that he feared for his life as he was beaten on the head and face with sharp blows.
Yazid also said that he was screamed at and cursed by interrogators at a nearby settlement and that he was physically weak and tired during interrogation as he had had surgery only two months before.
Hamada Jamal Abu Eid, 16, was also seized by occupation forces operating undercover in Biddu on 28 September. He said that one put a gun to his head before shooting in the air, causing him to fall to the ground where he was beaten on the body and head. He said that he was hit and slapped while being taken to interrogation at a nearby settlement, and that during interrogation himself he was subject to insults and curses.
Awakah said that Hamada continued to appear tired and ill during the interview, with severe and ongoing pain in his head. The three are among approximately 300 Palestinian children held in Israeli jails, mostly in Ofer and Megiddo prison, as well as 10 minor girls held in HaSharon prison.
In addition, the practice of sending children – especially Jerusalemite children – to house imprisonment, highlighted in the September 2017 report of Palestinian prisoners’ human rights associations, has continued. House imprisonment denies children the right to leave their homes, even for study or medical treatment in many cases, and forces parents and adults around them to become jailers at the threat of further punishment and imprisonment.
On 12 October, Jerusalemite teen Bilal Khalil Ghatit was ordered to home imprisonment with the imposition of an “electronic monitoring bracelet” on his ankle. He has already been held under house imprisonment since May, and has been unable to leave his home, go to school or visit relatives. His parents have also become prisoners; one of them must stay at home with him at all times. Bilal was seized in April 2017 by occupation forces who invaded the family home in the Sheikh Jarrah neighborhood of Jerusalem; he was released in May but ordered to house arrest. A ninth-grade student, he has been denied the ability to go to school.
Bilal’s father reported that he pays NIS 180 ($55 USD) for the electronic monitoring device; in the event of any malfunction of the device or even a loss of electricity in the home, the house is subject to violent raids by occupation forces, he noted, recalling the day of Bilal’s arrest, when his room was invaded as he slept and his brother beaten when he tried to intervene.
Another Palestinian child, Adam Hamdan, 14 from Ras al-Amud neighborhood of Silwan in Jerusalem, was also ordered to house imprisonment on 12 October; he was arrested on Tuesday, 10 October as he walked to school and accused of “throwing stones,” one of the most popular charges used by the Israeli occupation to criminalize and imprison Palestinian children and youth.
Samidoun Palestinian Prisoner Solidarity Network denounces the ongoing imprisonment, torture, mistreatment and abuse of Palestinian children at a systematic level by the Israeli occupation. We demand the immediate release of all Palestinian child prisoners in Israeli jails and urge greater international mobilization to support the hundreds of Palestinian children who are jailed each year, subject to solitary confinement and cruel and inhumane treatment, traumatic pre-dawn violent arrest raids and invasions of their homes, confiscation of their right to health and education – all as part of a systematic web of oppression at the hands of the Israeli settler colonial project. 

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